IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.6	#203
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.5	#128
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#215

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.4	#207

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.4	11.3	11.8

.500 or above	22.7%	26.8%	8.0%
.500 or above in Conference	8.6%	9.9%	3.9%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	36.4%	33.2%	47.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
First Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: VMI (Home) - 78.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 3	3 - 5	5 - 16
Quad 4	7 - 2	12 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	300	VMI	W	82-74	78%
Nov 08, 2019	267	@ Navy	W	71-70	51%
Nov 12, 2019	212	@ Appalachian St.	L	77-80	41%
Nov 16, 2019	87	Liberty	L	63-69	30%
Nov 22, 2019	182	Evansville	L	73-74	48%
Nov 30, 2019	232	@ James Madison	L	69-71	44%
Dec 03, 2019	348	Coppin St.	W	82-67	90%
Dec 14, 2019	302	Campbell	W	75-66	77%
Dec 17, 2019	350	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	58-42	92%
Dec 22, 2019	276	Charlotte	W	71-64	72%
Dec 28, 2019	274	Eastern Kentucky	W	88-81	72%
Jan 01, 2020	58	@ Wichita St.	L	64-79	11%
Jan 07, 2020	79	South Florida	L	68-74	30%
Jan 11, 2020	89	SMU	L	67-72	34%
Jan 15, 2020	100	Tulsa	L	71-75	37%
Jan 19, 2020	29	@ Cincinnati	L	58-76	7%
Jan 22, 2020	89	@ SMU	L	64-75	18%
Jan 25, 2020	242	Tulane	W	77-72	66%
Jan 29, 2020	32	Houston	L	64-76	16%
Feb 01, 2020	83	@ Temple	L	68-80	16%
Feb 06, 2020	94	Central Florida	L	66-70	37%
Feb 08, 2020	242	@ Tulane	L	74-75	47%
Feb 12, 2020	100	@ Tulsa	L	68-78	20%
Feb 16, 2020	29	Cincinnati	L	61-73	16%
Feb 19, 2020	26	@ Memphis	L	73-91	7%
Feb 23, 2020	83	Temple	L	71-77	31%
Feb 26, 2020	79	@ South Florida	L	65-77	15%
Feb 29, 2020	73	Connecticut	L	71-78	29%
Mar 08, 2020	94	@ Central Florida	L	63-73	20%
Projected Record						12 - 17	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0							1.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.0								2.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.1	1.6	0.5	0.0									3.5	6th
7th							0.1	1.4	2.4	1.1	0.1										5.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.7	3.4	1.8	0.2	0.0										7.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.5	4.7	2.5	0.4	0.0											10.4	9th
10th			0.1	1.2	4.4	6.4	3.6	0.6	0.0												16.3	10th
11th		0.7	4.2	9.2	7.9	3.9	0.7	0.0													26.5	11th
12th	3.2	7.4	8.3	5.1	1.5	0.3	0.0														25.8	12th

Total	3.2	8.1	12.5	15.4	14.2	13.3	10.8	8.1	5.9	3.9	2.1	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	65.9%	0.0		0.0
15-3	75.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	39.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	14.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.9%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%													0.0
17-1	0.0%									0.0		0.0
16-2	0.0%		65.9%		65.9%	7.1						0.0				0.0		0.0						0.0		65.9%
15-3	0.1%		54.1%	13.5%	40.6%	8.6					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0					0.0		47.0%
14-4	0.1%		46.0%	1.3%	44.7%	10.6							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		45.3%
13-5	0.3%		16.8%	8.0%	8.8%	11.1									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.3		9.5%
12-6	0.7%		9.3%	3.6%	5.7%	11.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.7		5.9%
11-7	1.3%		4.1%	1.7%	2.4%	11.6											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				1.2		2.5%
10-8	2.1%		2.8%	2.4%	0.4%	11.9												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			2.1		0.4%
9-9	3.9%		0.8%	0.8%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		3.9
8-10	5.9%		0.1%	0.0%	0.1%	11.3												0.0				0.0		5.9		0.1%
7-11	8.1%		0.2%	0.2%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0			8.1
6-12	10.8%		0.1%	0.1%		13.9														0.0	0.0			10.7
5-13	13.3%		0.0%	0.0%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	13.3
4-14	14.2%																							14.2
3-15	15.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.4
2-16	12.5%																							12.5
1-17	8.1%																							8.1
0-18	3.2%																							3.2

Total	100%		0.4%	0.2%	0.2%	11.4				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	99.6		0.2%